Joel Kan Archives

Positive Economic News Takes Rates Higher

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates moved up last week across most loan categories, including 30-year fixed-rate loans with both conforming and jumbo balances and loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration. It was the second consecutive week rates increased and follows a general trend upward over the past month. Joel Kan, an MBA economist, told CNBC positive economic news has been pushing rates higher. “Economic news in recent weeks has been mostly positive, especially in terms of GDP growth and increasing wages,” Kan said. “This raises the likelihood of the Fed raising rates at its December meeting, but also indicates stronger domestic economic fundamentals, which pushes rates higher.” As usual, rising rates had a negative effect on refinance activity, which is more sensitive to rate fluctuations than home purchase activity. Refinance demand dipped 3 percent last week from the week before, while demand for loans to buy homes was actually up 1 percent and is now 11 percent higher than the same week one year ago. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

Mortgage Rate Drop Sparks Increased Demand

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, demand for mortgage applications spiked 7.1 percent last week due to falling mortgage rates. Average rates were down for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with both conforming and jumbo balances, as well as loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration. On the other hand, the average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed rate mortgages was unchanged from the week before. Joel Kan, the MBA’s associate vice president of industry surveys and forecasts, says lingering economic concerns pushed rates lower. “With lingering concerns over a weak second quarter reading of US GDP growth, along with continuing anxiety over global growth and financial markets, rates edged lower for the second week in a row,” Kan said. Lower rates led to a spike in refinance activity, which was up 10 percent over the previous week. It also helped boost demand for loans to buy homes 3 percent higher than the week before. Purchase activity is now 13 percent higher than it was during the same week one year earlier. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

Mortgage Rates At Lowest Level In the Year

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates were mostly flat last week. In fact, rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans with both conforming and jumbo balances were unchanged from one week earlier while rates for loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages dropped. By the end of the week, average rates were as low as they’d been in nearly a year. That didn’t spur demand for mortgage applications, however, which fell 1.6 percent from the week before. Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of industry surveys and forecasting, told CNBC that the declining demand for home purchase loans was mostly seen at the higher end of the market. “Purchase applications jumped up during the first full week of April and had effectively remained at that level, on an unadjusted basis, before falling this week,” Kan said. “The seasonally adjusted purchase index decreased to the lowest level since February, led by declines in applications for larger home purchase amounts.” Purchase volume was still almost 12 percent higher than one year earlier, despite the decline in jumbo loans. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

Mortgage Rate Drop Stirs Demand

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates dropped sharply last week from the week before. Rates were down across all loan categories, including 30-year fixed-rate loans with both conforming and jumbo balances, mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration, and 15-year fixed-rate loans. MBA economist Joel Kan told CNBC the decline was brought on by recent comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen. “Rates fell last week as a more cautious message from Chair Yellen about the economic outlook and continuing concerns about weaker growth abroad kept demand for U.S. Treasurys high,” Kan said. “The 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped 8 basis points, the largest single week decline in eight weeks.” Falling rates spurred demand for mortgage applications. In fact, overall demand was up 2.7 percent over the week before – driven by a 7 percent surge in refinance activity. And though purchase demand was down 2 percent from one week earlier, it remains 11 percent higher than at the same time last year. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

Home Loan Demand Suggests Strong Spring

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, demand for loans to buy homes is 27 percent higher than it was at the same time last year. This indicates that this spring’s selling season could be even stronger than last year’s. That is encouraging news, especially since recent economic data has suggested activity is slowing. But despite the annual gain, demand for mortgage applications was down 4.8 percent from the week before. The decline was mostly due to a 7 percent drop in the number of borrowers looking to refinance. Refinance activity is usually more volatile than purchase demand – and more sensitive to rate fluctuations. Last week’s dip happened, however, during a week when mortgage rates were down. In fact, the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with both conforming and jumbo balances fell from the week before. So did average rates on loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration. Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president for forecasting and industry surveys, says many years of lower-than-normal mortgage rates has reduced the number of homeowners that can benefit from refinancing. “Applications for both conventional and government refinance loans decreased, as the supply of borrowers who could benefit from rates at this level begins to diminish,” Kan told CNBC. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

Mortgage Rates Fall For 3rd Straight Week

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, mortgage rates continue to defy expectations, falling for the third week in a row. In fact, rates were down across all loan categories including 30-year fixed-rate loans with both conforming and jumbo balances, loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration, and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages. The drop led to another bump in home loan demand, with both the refinance and purchase indexes seeing large gains. Refinance activity – which is generally more sensitive to rate fluctuations – was up 11 percent over the previous week, while demand for loans to buy homes rose 5 percent over the week before. Joel Kan, an MBA economist, told CNBC that mortgage rates are being affected by volatility in the financial market. “As a result of more financial market volatility and continued flight to quality by investors, mortgage rates have decreased 18 basis points since the first week of January 2016,” Kan said. That drop has rates at their lowest point since last October. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

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