Tag: Citadel Property Management

New home sales are an important barometer for the housing market for a number of reasons. For one, the more new homes that sell, the more new homes builders will build. And, as more new homes get added to the number of homes for sale, home prices will begin to moderate, as there are more homes for buyers to choose from. In other words, new home sales affect anyone buying or selling a home, regardless of whether they’re specifically interested in a newly built home. Because of that, news that new home sales rose 17.5 percent in November is encouraging for potential buyers and sellers interested in getting into the market in the coming months. That’s because strained affordability conditions will be helped by an increase in the number of new homes being sold and, even more importantly, the number of new homes that are built in the coming year. The monthly improvement also far exceeded economists’ expectations. In fact, economists polled by Reuters had predicted sales would fall 4.7 percent. More here.

New home construction is an important part of maintaining a healthy housing market. Without a steady supply of new homes, the total number of homes for sale will stall and prices will climb. That’s why the National Association of Home Builders tracks builder confidence with their monthly Housing Market Index. The index surveys builders about current conditions and their expectations for the next six months. Answers are scored on a scale where any number above 50 indicates more builders feel conditions are good than poor. In December, the index reached 74 – the highest recorded score since July 1999. Robert Dietz, NAHB’s chief economist, says housing demand is on the rise. “The HMI measure of home buyer traffic rose eight points, showing that demand for housing is on the rise,†Dietz said. “With low unemployment rates, favorable demographics, and a tight supply of existing home inventory, we can expect continued upward movement of the single-family construction sector next year.â€

Smartphones and the internet have given rise to a number of on-demand services that offer Americans the ability to supplement their income by providing work as independent contractors. Whether delivering groceries or ride sharing, many Americans are now working in what is known as the “gig economy.†In fact, as part of their third quarter National Housing Survey, Fannie Mae found nearly one-fifth of adults have worked in the gig economy. Generally speaking, these Americans have other full-time work, though younger respondents were more likely to rely on these types of jobs for income. Overall, however, participants in this type of work were more positive about their household income and financial outlook. But how does this type of job impact prospects for buying and owning a home? Well, that remains to be seen. Though gig-economy workers are generally more confident in their income, they also express concern about being able to qualify for a mortgage and save for a down payment. Particularly, among current renters, gig-economy workers were less likely to say they’d buy a home the next time they move. Also, there is some question about how underwriting standards handle what is becoming an increasingly popular way for Americans to make some money on the side. More here.

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates were up slightly last week, with increases seen for 30-year fixed-rate loans with conforming loan balances, mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration, and 15-year fixed-rate loans. Rates for jumbo loans, on the other hand, were down from the previous week. Joel Kan, an MBA economist, told CNBC there were a number of factors influencing rates. “Treasury rates started to fall mid-week, as disappointing data on the U.S. trade deficit and non-manufacturing sector were released, but picked up later in the week, as market fears of a government shutdown eased and the November employment report showed strong job growth,†Kan said. In other words, there are many economic factors driving rates right now. Despite this, however, they have remained within a fairly narrow range for quite some time. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. More here.

In any market, supply and demand determines whether it’s a good time to buy or a good time to sell. This, of course, is also true for real estate. Following the housing crash, there were far fewer buyers than available homes and prices fell dramatically. This presented an opportunity for buyers. In the ensuing years, lower-than-normal prices brought prospective home buyers and real estate investors out in search of bargains. Naturally, as those homes began to sell, inventory fell and prices began to rebound. Now, with a stronger economy and home prices having recovered, there are fewer homes available for sale than there are interested buyers. In other words, what was once a buyer’s market has begun to favor sellers. And, according to new research, that may present some opportunities in the coming year. Trulia’s 2018 Housing Outlook Report found that 31 percent of survey respondents felt like 2018 will be a better year for selling a house than 2017 was. And, if that leads to an increasing number of current homeowners selling their homes, it could mean the housing market begins to balance and prices begin to level off in areas that have seen recent spikes. More here.