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Confidence In Housing Market Rebounds


Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index measures Americans’ perceptions of the housing market, including whether they feel it’s a good time to buy or sell a house and their expectations for home prices and mortgage rates over the next year. In September, the Index found consumers are more secure in their jobs and more likely to feel now is a good time to enter the market. “The HPSI returned near its record high this month, driven primarily by improvement in attitudes about selling a home and strengthening home prices,†Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s senior vice president and chief economist, said. “With consumers’ expectations for rental price increases continuing to outpace their expectations for home price growth, many consumers may view homeownership as a more attractive option.†In fact, 64 percent of respondents said they felt like it was a good time to buy a house. Also in the report, the vast majority of Americans say they don’t fear losing their job and nearly a third reported that their household income has gone up significantly over the past year. The combination of increasing financial security and an attractive environment for potential home buyers and sellers indicates that the housing market should see continuing gains in the months ahead. More  here.

Red 'For Sale' sign shaped like a house with an arrow pointing right.

Lenders Say Credit Standards Have Eased


Fannie Mae’s quarterly Mortgage Lender Sentiment Survey polls senior executives to assess their views and outlook on a number of topics related to the mortgage market. The results provide an insider’s perspective on credit standards, demand, the economy, and more. According to the most recent survey, when asked whether their lending organization’s credit standards have eased, tightened, or remained unchanged over the past three months, the gap between those saying they’ve eased and those reporting stricter standards increased to 20 percent, a new survey high. Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, said it was the first time in seven quarters that there was a pronounced increase in the share of lenders reporting on net an easing of credit standards. “This is a significant result in light of public discourse on credit availability and standards,†Duncan said. “Overall, we expect that lenders’ tendency toward easing credit standards, together with relatively low mortgage rates and a strengthening labor market, will continue to support the housing market expansion.†More here.

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New Home Sales Beat Expectations In August


Sales of newly built single-family homes rose 5.7 percent in August, according to new estimates released by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. The improvement puts new home sales 21.6 percent above last year’s level and represents the fastest sales pace in seven years. After falling in June, sales have rebounded strongly. In fact, August’s report includes an upward revision of July’s estimate, which was initially reported as a 5.4 percent increase. It also surpasses economists’ expectations for the month. New home sales are an important indicator of – not only the health of the housing market – but also the overall economy. Strengthening sales are an indication of increasing economic activity, as well as a more stable job market. But though this summer’s sales gain can, in part, be attributed to improved employment conditions, it is also fueled by mortgage rates that remain low by historical standards. Also in the report, the median sales price of new houses sold in August was $292,700; the average sales price was $353,400. At the current sales pace, there was a 4.7-month supply of new homes available for sale. More here.

House under construction wrapped in Tyvek with wooden framing and green trees.

Potential Rate Hike Won’t Derail Housing


For months, speculation that the Federal Reserve would begin to raise interest rates has loomed over the housing market. The rumored rate hike has spurred some potential buyers to enter the market earlier than they may’ve planned but it’s also led many to theorize that higher mortgage rates would doom the housing market’s recent progress. According to a survey conducted by Reuters of 22 top economists, however, the housing market is now strong enough to endure a gradual increase in mortgage rates. In fact, all but two of the 22 said they felt rising rates would not hamper sales, citing job creation and growing demand for houses among younger buyers as reasons demand would not be affected. “The recent strength of housing activity suggests the market is well placed to cope with a gradual rise in interest rates,†Capital Economics economist, Matthew Pointon, told Reuters. “Rising rates will also be accompanied by an improving labor market and gradually loosening of credit conditions.†In addition, the surveyed economists felt home price increases wouldn’t be big enough to discourage first-time home buyers but will be enough to encourage current homeowners to put their homes up for sale, which could help address current inventory issues in many markets across the country. More here.

Railroad tracks extending into the distance with autumn foliage.

September May Be Best For Buyers


Spring and summer are known to be the hottest times of year for home shoppers and sellers. But, according to a recent article from Realtor.com’s chief economist, Jonathan Smoke, September may actually be the best month for buyers to sign a contract to buy a house. Smoke says prospective buyers will find more choices and less competition if they’re looking to buy now. “Normally inventory peaks in August and begins to slow as the nights grow longer,†Smoke says. “But this year the typical seasonal decline will start a bit later. There will be more choices in September than any other month in 2015.†And, since the school year has started, overall demand will be down, which means prospective buyers will have less competition than they would earlier in the year. Also, fewer buyers and more homes available for sale means upward pressure on prices will start to ease, giving potential buyers an edge. Finally, Smoke argues that now is the best time to buy because mortgage rates remain historically low, which makes affordability conditions even more favorable for prospective buyers. More here.

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Climbing Prices Top List Of Buyer Concerns


Buying a home requires a little forethought. It is, after all, the largest purchase most people will ever make. So thinking things through before taking the plunge is always a good idea. But what issues weigh most heavily on the minds of potential home buyers? According to a recently released survey, today’s buyers are most concerned about rising home prices. In fact, nearly 27 percent of respondents named affordability their biggest concern – with too much competition from other buyers running a distant second at 17 percent. The results highlight a change from last year. Although prices, competition, and inventory retain their hold on the top three positions, rising mortgage rates have fallen from the top five and were named by just 5 percent of participants. Still, despite fewer worries about a spike in mortgage rates, a growing number of home buyers have legitimate concerns about price increases, especially first-time home buyers. Among first-time buyers, 31 percent named prices their top concern. On the other hand, some issues that may have ranked higher in the past appear to have receded from buyers’ minds. For example, worries about the economy and job security, difficulty getting a loan, and confusion about the buying process were each named by just 3 percent of prospective buyers. More here.

A "SOLD" sign in front of a house with trees around.

 

 

Majority Of Recently Sold Homes Affordable

During the second quarter of this year, 63.2 percent of the new and existing homes sold were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $65,800, according to the National Association of Home Builders Housing Opportunity Index. And though that’s down from 66.5 percent in the first quarter, David Crowe, NAHB’s chief economist, says conditions are still favorable. “Though affordability edged slightly lower in the second quarter, the HOI remains well above 50, where half the households can afford half the homes sold,” Crowe said. “Low mortgage rates, pent-up demand and continued job growth should contribute to a gradual, steady rise in housing throughout the year.” The slight drop in affordability is largely due to the fact that home prices continue to rise. In fact, the national median home price increased from $210,000 in the first quarter to $230,000 in the second quarter. On the other hand, average mortgage rates actually moved lower during the same period, which should help offset some of the effects of continued price gains. More here.

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