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Homes For Sale Spend More Time On Market

Searching for a home to buy means making a major financial decision, while at the same time choosing a place to spend the next several years of your life. In other words, it’s not the type of thing you want to rush. However, in a competitive market, home buyers sometimes don’t have the luxury of thinking through their options. A good house is likely to attract a lot of attention and, if you want it, you have to make your offer fast. That has been the case recently, as there have been fewer homes available to buy and a high level of buyer demand. In short, homes have been selling quickly. But, according to new numbers from the National Association of Realtors, that may be changing. In fact, the typical home was on the market for 46 days in December, which is up from 42 days in November and 40 days last year at the same time. And if that doesn’t seem like a big improvement, consider that in August of last year the typical home sold in just 29 days. Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, says inventory has been improving and it’s helping buyers. “Several consecutive months of rising inventory is a positive development for consumers and could lead to slower home price appreciation,†Yun said. “But there is still a lack of adequate inventory on the lower-priced points and too many in upper-priced points.â€Â 

A charming house with a "For Sale" sign in front under a blue sky.

Majority Of Millennials Say They’d Buy A Fixer Upper

Millennial home buyers face some well-documented challenges. Higher home prices, too few starter homes for sale, and student loan debt are near the top of the list. Add to that having to save for a down payment while paying rent and it can seem like an uphill battle. But younger Americans want to buy and are showing a willingness to get creative in order to make it happen. For example, a new survey finds nearly 70 percent of millennials, who say they’d like to become homeowners soon, would consider buying a home that needs major repairs. And since finding an affordable house in a good neighborhood with quality schools and a short commute to work isn’t always easy, taking on a home improvement project in order to get one may not seem like that big of a tradeoff. And it isn’t, especially if you can do some of the work yourself. But, if this strategy appeals to you, be careful. Home repairs can get costly and even more so if you don’t have the expertise and experience to handle the job. More here.

A green miter saw set up in a wooden-framed construction area.

Builder Optimism Climbs As Rates Slow Down

Builders build the homes we buy and live in but they also serve another important purpose. They are a good barometer for where the real estate market is heading. After all, it’s their business to determine whether or not people are buying homes. So when builders are confident, there’s likely a good reason. According to the National Association of Home Builders’ most recent Housing Market Index, the reason this month is mortgage rates. The NAHB’s index measures builder confidence on a scale where any number above 50 indicates more builders view conditions as good than poor. In January, it increased two points to 58. Randy Noel, NAHB’s chairman, says it’s because there’s been a decline in mortgage rates over the past several weeks. “The gradual decline in mortgage rates in recent weeks helped to sustain builder sentiment,†Noel said. “Low unemployment, solid job growth, and favorable demographics should support housing demand in the coming months.†In other words, builders expect buyer demand to remain high going into this spring’s sales season. 

A partially built house under a blue sky with scattered clouds.

A Hopeful Sign For The Spring Market

Spring is the busiest season for home buyers. So, naturally, there’s a lot of analysis of buying conditions as it approaches. Things like mortgage rates, the economy, prices, for-sale inventory, and buyer demand can all be used to get a feel for how busy or slow the season will be. One early sign came with this week’s Applications Survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association. The survey measures mortgage rate movement and also demand for refinance and home purchase loans. The most recent results show a significant surge in demand over the previous week. In fact, total mortgage loan demand was up 13.5 percent from one week earlier and requests for loans to buy homes was 11 percent higher than at the same time last year. Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s senior vice president and chief economist, said the spike might be a hopeful sign. “Uncertainty regarding the government shutdown, slowing global growth, Brexit, a more patient Fed, and a volatile stock market continued to keep rates from increasing,†Fratantoni said. “The spring home buying season is almost upon us, and if rates stay lower, inventory continues to grow, and the job market maintains its strength, we do expect to see a solid spring market.â€Â 

A bright yellow daffodil blooming against a white wall.

Money Is Main Motivator When Deciding To Buy

When surveyed, Americans who currently don’t own a home consistently say they’d like to buy one someday. For example, the National Association of Realtors’ Housing Opportunities and Market Experience survey asked non-homeowners whether homeownership is part of their American Dream and 75 percent of respondents said it was. Which means, there are a lot of people who’d like to buy a home. So what are the main factors that influence their decision to buy now or wait? Well, it may come as no surprise that money leads the list. Most non-homeowners, when asked why they don’t currently own a home, said they couldn’t afford a mortgage. Other reasons included needing the flexibility that comes with renting and a lifestyle that wasn’t compatible with ownership. Similarly, when asked what might spur a future decision to buy, respondents said that having more money would motivate them to purchase a home. But an improved financial situation wasn’t the only thing that could encourage them to buy. An almost equal number of respondents said a lifestyle change like marriage or retirement might push them to pursue homeownership. More here.

Close-up of various US dollar bills overlapping each other.

How Long Will You Live In The Home You Buy?

Everybody knows buying a house is a major financial commitment. But you’re also committing your time. After all, if you’re purchasing a home, you’re likely thinking about staying awhile. But how long should you expect to live in the home you buy? Well, according to new numbers from First American, the length of time the average homeowner spends in their house is growing. In fact, it’s risen 10 percent in just the past year. Mark Fleming, First American’s chief economist, says there are a couple of reasons for this. “Just prior to the housing downturn in 2007, homeowners typically stayed in their homes for four years,†Fleming says. “In the aftermath of the housing market crash (2008-2016), median homeowner tenure increased to approximately seven years. Many people remained in their homes because their mortgage balances exceeded their property values during this time, so they would have lost money by selling their homes.†In the ensuing years, Americans who bought homes did so at a time when mortgage rates were at historic lows, giving them a reason to stay put longer. Combined those factors pushed median tenure length to 10 years by September of last year. That means, if you’re buying a house today, you may want to ask yourself whether it’ll still be the right house for you in a decade. More here.

A bright red wall clock showing the time 9:10.

One Way To Think About Mortgage Rate Increases

Affordability conditions over the past few years have been largely held in check by low mortgage rates. Potential home buyers could absorb higher home prices, since job market improvement had them feeling confident in their income and rates were still hovering near historic lows. But though the most recent data shows rates have fallen over the past few weeks, last year brought the first significant increase since the housing crash. This has caused new concern about affordability. So how concerned should buyers be? Well one way to put current conditions in perspective is to look at what has been normal historically. The numbers show that, since 1970, mortgage rates have generally been much higher than they are today. In fact, during the ’70s, they ranged between 7 and 10 percent. In the early 1980s, they surged to almost 19 percent before settling back down. Since then, they’ve generally been between 6 and 10 percent until 2009. In other words, today’s mortgage rates are still well below historic norms, even with the past year’s increase. More here.

Close-up of a red percentage symbol on a blurred background.

Experts Say Number Of Homeowners Set To Rise

A recent survey asked 100 real estate economists and experts for their housing market predictions. And though they had varied views on topics like mortgage rates, home values, and who will be most active in the market in years to come, they almost unanimously agreed on just one thing. A full 88 percent of responding panelists said they expect that the homeownership rate would be higher in five years than it is now and an almost equal amount said it will be improved in just two years. Why is this important? Well, following the foreclosure crisis and housing crash, the homeownership rate – which had peaked in 2006 – began to fall. And while it fell just 6 percent from its high, and only 2 percent from its historical average, it was a reflection of growing uncertainty among Americans. In short, buying a house, which had traditionally been seen as part of achieving the American dream, had lost some of its appeal. Since then, however, both the homeownership rate and housing market confidence have begun to rebound. And, according to the survey, an influx of first-time home buyers over the next five years will help further improvement. More here.

Homeowners Get Realistic About Home Values

Having a good idea what your home is worth is important for a couple of reasons. As a homeowner, knowing how much equity you have in your house can be useful when weighing your options with regard to refinancing or home equity loans. As a potential home seller, it’s even more important. That’s because, setting a fair price for your home will make a big difference in how it’s received by potential buyers. It can also save you some disappointment when it’s officially appraised. Since appraisers base the value of your home on what similar homes in the area have recently sold for, their estimation is going to reflect market conditions and won’t take into account your personal attachment to the property. For homeowners who have an inflated perception of their home’s worth, this can lead to disappointment. Fortunately, new numbers show that today’s homeowner has a fairly realistic view of home values. In fact, appraisal values in December were just 0.45 percent lower than what homeowners expected. This is an improvement over a couple of years ago, when homeowners believed their homes were worth nearly 1.5 percent more than their appraisal. More here.

Two colorful suburban houses under a partly cloudy sky.

Americans Think It’s A Good Time To Sell A House

For many years following the housing crash, home buying conditions were excellent. Home prices had plummeted and mortgage rates were at historic lows. It was a buyer’s market and a good deal for anyone who could take advantage. Unfortunately though, since prices had fallen so far, many homeowners who may have wanted to make a move couldn’t without selling their house for much less than they’d paid for it. But these days, those same homeowners have seen their home’s value rebound and maybe even exceed what it was before the crash. That means, though buying conditions aren’t what they were then, conditions have improved significantly for homeowners who are looking to sell. According to Fannie Mae’s monthly Home Purchase Sentiment Index – which measures Americans’ feelings about the housing market, economy, and their personal financial situation – survey respondents have noticed. The most recent results show an increase in the number of respondents who said it was a good time to sell. The flip side, of course, is that a decreasing number also said it was a good time to buy. More here.

Red sale sign outside a house for sale.

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